Flaky-Daffodil
0x4cfd46707fe865c60348a3cd872840eac14ec6d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$2.30
Total PnL
$-107.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$2.30
$0.30
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
4750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
253 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-32.81
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
110 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-17.60
- NO
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?
68 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
27 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-14.49
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
19 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
10 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$2.00Apr 21, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$10.00Apr 11, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$3.30Apr 11, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?$17.60Apr 11, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: BIG vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffs$0.00Apr 11, 19:50 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs$0.00Apr 11, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: ShindeN vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs$0.00Apr 11, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?$19.77Apr 11, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?$15.40Apr 8, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: ShindeN vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #3 Playoffs$5.00Apr 8, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs$0.49Apr 8, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs$0.37Apr 8, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs$0.01Apr 8, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs$0.41Apr 8, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs$0.60Apr 8, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs$0.41Apr 8, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs$0.80Apr 8, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs$0.80Apr 8, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs$0.57Apr 8, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs$0.55Apr 8, 21:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $9.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 20:04 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 11:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.