Ornery-Sprout
0x4d064a2f85ab3eb2c0e5f7bdec066becbec79f43
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 7?
1360 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 9?
21 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.72
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29?
20 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2025$0.00
$-15.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on November 6?
13 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-6.08
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on August 11?
12 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.44
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 76°F or higher on March 30?$1.5KApr 2, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 76°F or higher on March 30?$999.90Mar 30, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 7?$1.0KMar 7, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 9?$6.50Jan 9, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 9?$3.22Jan 9, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on November 6?$6.08Nov 6, 05:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Oct 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?$2.52Oct 23, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$498.69Oct 23, 02:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Oct 23, 00:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Oct 22, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Oct 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$499.20Oct 20, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?$3.02Oct 20, 07:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.82Oct 20, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?$474.92Oct 20, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?$475.40Oct 18, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.82Oct 18, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on September 23?$20.00Oct 18, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on September 23?$13.00Sep 23, 08:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $222.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 07:03 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 05:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".