Arid-Insect
0x4d0b0a77d4ca6e3b53fae22923b6a36503f9ad45
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$7.55
Total PnL
$0.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?
4 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.22
$0.02
- YES
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates in May?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.24
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 28?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.09
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 28?$1.09May 27, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the People’s Bank of China not change rates in May?$2.22May 27, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$4.20May 27, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 17?$1.16May 27, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?$2.15May 27, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.94May 27, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 17?$1.16Apr 19, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?$2.10Apr 19, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.30Apr 19, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$1.10Apr 19, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.33Apr 19, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?$4.51Apr 19, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$1.10Mar 16, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$2.10Mar 16, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in March?$4.50Mar 16, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?$1.32Mar 16, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.95Mar 16, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$10.10Mar 16, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$1.60Feb 8, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?$1.30Feb 8, 04:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $555.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 01:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 02:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".