Astonishing-Envelope
0x4d0e8af970a23f7c8281341191c7470fc4b0f8fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.12
Total PnL
$-115.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
5 shares @ 37.1¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.12
$-1.74
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
150 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
DeepSeek R2 released before May?
110 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
100 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?
90 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
38 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in November?
35 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.57
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
35 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.76
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
30 shares @ 66.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
25 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$20.27May 27, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 31?$20.00May 13, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.90May 6, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?$3.30May 6, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$1.75May 6, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$1.60May 6, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMTCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils$7.98May 6, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils$6.80Mar 20, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$1.00Mar 20, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$0.45Mar 20, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$12.80Mar 20, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$0.90Mar 20, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$1.00Mar 20, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$0.40Mar 20, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$0.86Mar 20, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$1.50Mar 20, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$1.50Mar 20, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$8.00Mar 20, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?$20.00Mar 20, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$5.92Jan 5, 03:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $7.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 00:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 08:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.