Vacant-Empire
0x4d1722852fb71b0c8b8a447b5a91e70f8716a23c
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
88
Open notional
$5.77
Total PnL
$-207.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
10 shares @ 9.7¢·now 29.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.06
$2.06
- YES
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$1.65
$0.65
- YES
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?
19 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.11
$-0.89
- YES
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
12 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.02
$-2.98
- YES
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?
344 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican?
262 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE?
221 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in August?
161 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$1.00Feb 23, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?$1.00Feb 23, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by January 30?$1.00Jan 18, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win between 20% and 22% of votes in the first round?$1.00Jan 12, 00:43 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil’s 12-month inflation below 5.50% for December 2025?$0.00Jan 10, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by January 16?$1.00Jan 8, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win more than 22% of votes in the first round?$1.00Jan 6, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro trial scheduled by January 31?$1.00Jan 6, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$1.00Jan 5, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another person win the first round?$1.00Jan 4, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in January?$1.00Jan 3, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 3, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 3, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$5.88Jan 3, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in January 2026?$1.00Jan 3, 19:45 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?$1.72Jan 3, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?$1.00Dec 25, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$1.00Dec 25, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$1.00Dec 25, 18:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$6.25Dec 25, 18:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 03:09 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 17:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".