Burly-Bonsai
0x4d18e4678ed05435a305e986d69febbf5dd1c60c
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$13.13
Total PnL
$-1.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?
1 shares @ 93.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$1.39
$0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 6?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$1.31
$0.01
- NO
Will Our Country (ND) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.31
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on April 6?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$1.31
$0.01
- NO
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win 35-39 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will the Democrats (D) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Mine dropper" this week? (April 5)
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C or higher on March 23?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will Annie Soucat be the next mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.30
$0.00
- NO
Will Augusto Saturnino Oblitas win the 2026 La Paz gubernatorial election?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$1.30
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on April 6?$1.30Apr 6, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 6?$1.30Apr 6, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill "One Piece: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$1.31Apr 6, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$1.32Apr 6, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mine dropper" this week? (April 5)$1.30Apr 5, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 10–15%?$1.32Mar 30, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "One Piece: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$1.30Mar 24, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C or higher on March 23?$1.30Mar 23, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 21 be between 2,800,000 and 3,000,000?$2.00Mar 23, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeportivo Pereira vs. Cúcuta Deportivo FC: O/U 3.5$1.30Mar 23, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on March 21?$2.00Mar 23, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Annie Soucat be the next mayor of Arcis-sur-Aube?$1.30Mar 22, 22:32 UTC
- REDEEMVCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini$1.38Mar 22, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats (D) win the second most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?$1.30Mar 22, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Our Country (ND) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$1.30Mar 22, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on March 21?$2.00Mar 22, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Augusto Saturnino Oblitas win the 2026 La Paz gubernatorial election?$1.30Mar 22, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 21?$2.00Mar 22, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$1.30Mar 22, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21?$1.30Mar 22, 07:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $71.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 10:53 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 15:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".