Winding-Espadrille
0x4d192d4236b9186c3396951091a28a452101a943
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-228.03
Realised
$2.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on April 30?
6290 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-17.83
- NO
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
2627 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-28.61
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 30?
1340 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 30?
1173 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?
791 shares @ 18.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-149.61
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on April 30?
713 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C on April 30?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or higher on April 30?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
296 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 30?
240 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$1.07May 6, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$4.20May 6, 06:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?$54.25May 6, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?$10.36May 5, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 5?$7.33May 5, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 5?$5.23May 5, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?$5.18May 5, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$27.61May 5, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$29.00May 5, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?$51.82May 5, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$51.85May 5, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?$50.72May 5, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$50.71May 5, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?$50.71May 5, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$50.98May 5, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$24.71May 5, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$10.82May 4, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$2.14May 4, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$0.00May 4, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$5.35May 4, 21:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $24.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 06:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 06:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.