Practical-Fort
0x4d1fb2390d5138b4ab16935b5a2c128d48a7102e
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$130.91
Total PnL
$-18.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
100 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$100.00
$0.80
- NO
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?
26 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$25.54
$0.54
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 19.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.37
$-4.63
- NO
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
17 shares @ 85.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$99.24May 16, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$25.03May 16, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$15.06May 16, 21:54 UTC
- REDEEMBarcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinn$10.49May 16, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$13.48May 16, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?$202.64May 16, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBarcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinn$7.10Apr 15, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?$200.00Apr 15, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMMagic vs. 76ers$0.00Apr 15, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMSenators vs. Kings$0.00Apr 15, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 322: Mariscal vs. Sabatini (Featherweight, Early Prelims)$0.00Apr 15, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMStars vs. Blues$0.00Apr 15, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMOilers vs. Utah$38.20Apr 15, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYOilers vs. Utah$17.19Mar 24, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$4.41Feb 20, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMCanadiens vs. Blue Jackets$8.58Feb 20, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMHurricanes vs. Bruins$45.56Feb 20, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)$50.29Feb 20, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMHeat vs. Celtics$58.14Feb 20, 19:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Feb 2, 00:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $56.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 00:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 21:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.