Compassionate-Parade
0x4d1fbdbb04aef322e92be2afeed69b0a6600842c
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$98.13
Total PnL
$-58.67
Realised
$-56.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?
39 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$38.92
$0.12
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?
17 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$17.35
$0.05
- NO
Will JB Straubel be announced as the next CEO of Tesla?
9 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$9.08
$0.08
- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Pacers
8 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$7.86
$2.52
- NO
Will the Browns win the AFC Championship?
7 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$7.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Manuela Magno win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
6 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$5.62
$0.02
- NO
Will the Cowboys win the NFC Championship?
3 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$3.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?
3 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.06
$0.06
- NO
Will the Cleveland Browns win the AFC North?
2 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$2.04
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Pistons$1.38Dec 1, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pacers$5.34Dec 1, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYGiants vs. Patriots$1.88Dec 1, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$4.32Dec 1, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Giants win the 2026 NFC Championship?$14.14Dec 1, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?$38.80Nov 11, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?$17.30Nov 11, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill SV win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$3.02Nov 11, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Miami Marlins win the 2025 National League Championship?$3.23Nov 11, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Samuel Eto’o win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$4.84Nov 11, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill AUTO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$5.22Nov 11, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $6.00 in September?$6.00Nov 11, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nico Hülkenberg be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$7.03Nov 11, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$8.14Nov 11, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$21.16Nov 11, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$21.12Oct 12, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manuela Magno win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5.60Sep 1, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $6.00 in September?$5.87Sep 1, 19:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be less than 2%?$1.94Sep 1, 19:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill a dozen eggs be below $3.50 in June?$2.00Sep 1, 19:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $7.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 12:55 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 1, 07:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".