Waterlogged-Airspace
0x4d2081cda64a2b3990adcb62fd41e1ca61d83912
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$104.85
Total PnL
$-104.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
41 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$40.54
$1.54
- NO
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
36 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$36.19
$1.19
- YES
Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?
15 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.46
$0.46
- NO
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
13 shares @ 78.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.65
$2.65
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - November 8, 11PM ET
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down on November 6?
33 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
25 shares @ 59.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - November 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
23 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down on November 20?
21 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on November 20?
17 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?$15.00Nov 20, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$39.00Nov 20, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token in 2025?$35.00Nov 20, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on November 20?$20.00Nov 20, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on November 20?$10.00Nov 20, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on November 20?$15.00Nov 20, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on November 20?$10.00Nov 20, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2025-11-16?$80.26Nov 20, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ecuador win on 2025-11-18?$108.00Nov 20, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2025-11-16?$57.79Nov 16, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2025-11-18?$82.08Nov 16, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMPacers vs. Suns$0.00Nov 16, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMPacers vs. Suns$176.11Nov 16, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Suns$170.83Nov 14, 03:58 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$7.50Nov 14, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - November 8, 11PM ET$1.00Nov 9, 04:45 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on November 6?$22.99Nov 9, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 6?$36.49Nov 9, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 7?$38.86Nov 9, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 7?$34.00Nov 6, 14:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $31.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 6, 14:10 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 20, 03:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.