Jaunty-Rainstorm
0x4d20fdd07c1aa4852ac2c30dea1a330f572d76c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$29.99
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-114.51
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
30 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$29.99
$19.20
- YES
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
1112 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
442 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-129.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
309 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-92.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
299 shares @ 35.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-105.49
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
249 shares @ 47.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-117.46
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
246 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.33
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
243 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
239 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$0.07Feb 15, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$2.00Feb 14, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$2.00Feb 14, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$20.00Feb 14, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$28.70Feb 14, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$2.77Feb 14, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$5.58Feb 14, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$20.00Feb 14, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$0.40Feb 14, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$0.88Feb 14, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$0.32Feb 14, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$12.90Feb 14, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$4.80Feb 14, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$3.57Feb 14, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$0.53Feb 14, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$4.40Feb 14, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$4.00Feb 14, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$3.00Feb 14, 08:28 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.12Feb 14, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$19.92Feb 13, 23:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $9.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 23:25 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 15, 00:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".