Spiteful-Cranberry
0x4d21ddaf2f87015e8fe4ebb8cc0305afe5d4238d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-98.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 17?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- HERNANDEZ
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 18?
222 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.56
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 19?
143 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.29
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on February 21?
133 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will Portland Timbers vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on February 20?
83 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.22
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 24?
64 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.35
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on February 22?
48 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
30 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-14.77
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$19.81Mar 3, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Artemis II launch by March 31?$0.44Mar 3, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1.12Mar 3, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$2.21Mar 3, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$4.65Mar 3, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$3.22Feb 26, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portland Timbers win on 2026-02-21?$3.22Feb 22, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$0.00Feb 22, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$0.00Feb 22, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$0.00Feb 22, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 18, 2PM ET$0.00Feb 22, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 18, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$0.00Feb 22, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$0.00Feb 22, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$0.00Feb 22, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$0.00Feb 22, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Feb 22, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$0.00Feb 22, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portland Timbers vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?$9.99Feb 22, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Columbus Crew (-2.5)$1.70Feb 22, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Columbus Crew win on 2026-02-21?$1.00Feb 22, 05:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $2.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 23:58 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 18:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.