Dull-Ideology
0x4d286469a2036c354f17f6ad2e989f798d5d8ac6
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$52.70
Total PnL
$-24.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
22 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$21.88
$0.88
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
20 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$20.14
$0.14
- NO
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
3 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
3 shares @ 98.2¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
3 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.04
$0.04
- NO
Will FC Arouca win on 2025-11-07?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$1.49
$0.34
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
24 shares @ 91.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- NO
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?
3 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$3.00Feb 19, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$3.00Feb 19, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$3.00Feb 19, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.3KFeb 19, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.3KFeb 18, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$22.00Feb 18, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.00Feb 18, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$20.00Feb 18, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?$3.00Feb 18, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Arouca win on 2025-11-07?$1.15Nov 7, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$21.00Nov 7, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?$0.00Nov 7, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?$3.90Nov 7, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?$3.00Jul 8, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?$3.00Jul 8, 13:54 UTC
- REDEEMNets vs. Bucks$0.00Feb 24, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMBears vs. Packers$0.00Feb 24, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMPanthers vs. Falcons$0.00Feb 24, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMBrowns vs. Ravens$0.00Feb 24, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMTrail Blazers vs. Lakers$2.74Feb 24, 17:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $277.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 15, 19:16 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 19:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".