Joyful-Mandolin
0x4d2aa6223a99177f6e9ad673cf62d67322c2b7ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-423.74
Realised
$-0.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?
6267 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-25.99
- YES
Will "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 24m?
335 shares @ 42.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-143.00
- YES
Will George Russell finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
321 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 60% and 100% on August 15?
208 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Syria strikes Israel by July 31?
167 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump and Putin hug on Friday?
157 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-12.55
- NIP
IEM Cologne: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. Natus Vincere
137 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-22.19
- NO
Will anyone say "Operating Margin" during the Q2 2025 Amazon earnings call?
123 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
114 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will anyone say "Advertising" during the Q2 2025 Meta earnings call?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 50–55 million views on day 1?$0.00Dec 19, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)$7.20Dec 14, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLTimothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner engaged in 2025?$7.09Dec 14, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 24m?$143.00Dec 10, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?$143.00Dec 8, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYF1 Italian GP: Verstappen vs. Piastri$21.00Sep 7, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYF1 Italian Grand Prix: Red Bull vs. Ferrari$21.00Sep 7, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEM"Nobody 2" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 70–79%?$42.11Aug 21, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin hug on Friday?$12.55Aug 15, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?$11.82Aug 15, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2800 in August?$15.00Aug 4, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?$10.00Jul 30, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMIEM Cologne: MOUZ vs. Spirit$0.00Jul 30, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMIEM Cologne: MOUZ vs. Spirit$25.73Jul 30, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIEM Cologne: MOUZ vs. Spirit$22.90Jul 29, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$22.90Jul 29, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIEM Cologne: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs. Natus Vincere$22.19Jul 29, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$21.29Jul 29, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYF1 Hungarian GP: Alonso vs. Stroll $15.50Jul 29, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner engaged in 2025?$18.00Jul 28, 21:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $18.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 22:43 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 19, 09:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".