Major-Spatula
0x4d2cd92cf896ef476596b636b09afbd8201c222d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
999 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$997.50
$0.50
- NO
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
500 shares @ 96.5¢·now 94.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$471.00
$-11.50
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$100.25
$0.25
- NO
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
100 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$99.65
$-0.35
- YES
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?
20 shares @ 64.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.90
$0.10
- NO
Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.95
$0.01
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Lakers
650 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-383.50
- OVER
Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 211.5
339 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- PISTONS
Wizards vs. Pistons
300 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-258.00
- MAGIC
Magic vs. Grizzlies
200 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-118.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?$30.00Jun 12, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$34.11Jun 12, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$59.36Jun 12, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$67.67Jun 12, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$63.72Jun 12, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$42.95Jun 12, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$55.89Jun 12, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$50.99Jun 12, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$48.04Jun 12, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$43.91Jun 12, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?$15.86Jun 12, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026?$4.94Jun 12, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$997.06Jun 3, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$422.79Jun 3, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$421.17May 27, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$100.02May 21, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Malta win Eurovision 2026?$5.00May 21, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$5.00May 21, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$5.00May 21, 10:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?$5.00May 21, 10:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $127.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 06:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 23:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.