Irresponsible-Freezer
0x4d2fc97f376de55a6fe733b1eb47dcd5e8d6f179
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$35.66
Total PnL
$-2.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 6?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$5.32
$0.32
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 7?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$5.21
$0.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 6?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$5.21
$0.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 6?
5 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$5.21
$0.22
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 6?
5 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$5.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Danish Social Liberal Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$5.00
$2.50
- NO
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.50
$1.00
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 13?
11 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 7?$4.19May 7, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 7?$5.00May 7, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 6?$3.67May 6, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 7?$5.00May 6, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on May 6?$5.00May 6, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 6?$4.13May 6, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 6?$5.00May 6, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 6?$4.46May 6, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 6?$5.00May 5, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 6?$5.00May 5, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 6?$5.00May 5, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 6?$4.54May 5, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 6?$0.99May 5, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 6?$3.10May 5, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 6?$0.01May 5, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 6?$3.98May 5, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 6?$5.00May 5, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 6?$5.00May 5, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 6?$5.05May 5, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 6?$5.00May 5, 17:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 23:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 16:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.