Graceful-Tank
0x4d30522586c74049407a8ab4a22e34129387d269
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$8.26
Total PnL
$-18.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
63 shares @ 13.1¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.21
$-1.04
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.04
$0.04
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
6692 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-3.3K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
5372 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.7K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
4824 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.4K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
4800 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.4K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
2332 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
2330 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
2327 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
2321 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.25Mar 20, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta reach $860 in February?$8.34Mar 20, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta reach $860 in February?$8.27Feb 4, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.22Feb 4, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?$1.25Feb 4, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$1.71Feb 4, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMX Money launch in 2025?$3.09Feb 4, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYX Money launch in 2025?$2.90Dec 15, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.21Dec 9, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?$1.20Dec 2, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$1.64Nov 26, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$0.00Nov 14, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$6.6KNov 14, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$262.00Nov 14, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$24.00Nov 14, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$2.4KNov 14, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$2.4KNov 14, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$4.7KNov 14, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$2.40Nov 14, 07:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $626.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 14, 05:42 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 09:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".