Variable-Keeper
0x4d3185550eb15f7da262c3262781e1d0ce1a4421
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-111.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?
6405 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.81
- NO
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
2750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- DUKE BLUE DEVILS
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils
1363 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-927.00
- NO
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?
1052 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-116.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYConnecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils$930.54Mar 29, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLTennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines$930.56Mar 29, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines$325.13Mar 29, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$325.13Mar 29, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?$80.88Mar 28, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?$80.88Mar 28, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYTennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines$380.04Mar 28, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$380.05Mar 28, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?$36.05Mar 28, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?$28.71Mar 28, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?$7.34Mar 28, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?$266.09Mar 27, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$266.09Mar 27, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?$140.00Mar 27, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$80.00Mar 27, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$60.00Mar 27, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?$225.41Mar 27, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$116.71Mar 27, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$108.69Mar 27, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?$12.81Mar 26, 17:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $288.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 15:00 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 19:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.