Alarmed-Bus
0x4d35dc59db2d6cb50fee0391bb69ac72b2347a90
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$9.32
Total PnL
$-690.48
Realised
$-7.63
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
690 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.32
$3.11
- LISA PIGATO
Antalya 3: Teodora Kostovic vs Lisa Pigato
400 shares @ 86.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-346.50
- YES
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?
320 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-60.79
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
150 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-63.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
100 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
98 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-55.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
78 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-35.15
- YES
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
70 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-58.80
- AMANDA ANISIMOVA
BNP Paribas Open: Victoria Mboko vs Amanda Anisimova
60 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-7.20
- YES
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?
55 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-34.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.40Jun 1, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$59.18Jun 1, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?$3.38May 28, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.23May 28, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.23May 28, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?$1.17May 28, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?$1.17May 28, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.47May 28, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.97May 28, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?$1.86May 28, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.97May 28, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.95May 28, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?$1.41May 28, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?$35.19May 28, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?$7.04May 28, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.39May 28, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.23May 28, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?$5.12May 28, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$64.10May 28, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$1.40Mar 17, 19:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $16.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 09:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 18:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".