Demanding-Pajamas
0x4d3a1484dabe25aeaaac4b73e6c5a4e57c808acc
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$92.09
Total PnL
$-18.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?
92 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$92.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 25?
1400 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on November 19?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 8?
1067 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on November 21?
850 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on December 31?
803 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.34
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 3?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
141 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- CARDINALS
Cardinals vs. Colts
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- RAYS
Rays vs. Orioles
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2?$92.01Jun 2, 12:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?$92.09Jun 2, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?$92.01May 23, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?$92.09May 23, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?$92.01May 19, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on May 14?$92.09May 19, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on May 14?$92.00May 14, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$92.23May 14, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$92.01May 9, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?$92.18May 9, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5?$92.01May 5, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 27?$92.09May 5, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 27?$92.00Apr 27, 08:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 24?$92.09Apr 27, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 24?$92.00Apr 24, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 18?$91.08Apr 24, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 18?$91.00Apr 18, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on April 16?$91.08Apr 18, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on April 16?$91.00Apr 15, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on April 12?$91.08Apr 15, 12:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $88.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 05:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 12:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".