Official-Rug
0x4d3aa76b9b24aca6c7ba481c3b5b5d35dcda7c06
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-506.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
9135 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-226.99
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?
3771 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-130.00
- YES
Will 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?
1690 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Global heat increase less than 1.22°C for 2024?
1122 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Global heat increase between 1.22°C and 1.24°C for 2024?
1096 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C?
500 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-12.50
- YES
Global heat increase between 1.25°C and 1.27°C for 2024?
345 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Republicans have between 215 and 219 seats in House after election?$0.00Dec 7, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Republicans have between 225 and 229 seats in House after election?$0.00Dec 7, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Republicans have between 210 and 214 seats in House after election?$0.00Dec 7, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Republicans have 230 or more seats in House after election?$0.00Dec 7, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Republicans control 224 seats in the House after the election?$0.00Dec 7, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYRecord turnout in 2024 Presidential election?$47.00Nov 26, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.20-1.24°C?$3.33Nov 26, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.20-1.24°C?$0.80Nov 26, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.20-1.24°C?$0.01Nov 26, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.20-1.24°C?$0.02Nov 26, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.20-1.24°C?$0.02Nov 26, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.20-1.24°C?$0.02Nov 26, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.20-1.24°C?$2.96Nov 26, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.20-1.24°C?$2.80Nov 26, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.20-1.24°C?$2.03Nov 26, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?$50.00Nov 24, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYRecord turnout in 2024 Presidential election?$80.00Nov 24, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?$30.00Nov 19, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump tweet 15-19 times Nov 8-15?$0.00Nov 19, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYRecord turnout in 2024 Presidential election?$100.00Nov 19, 00:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $16.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 17:19 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 7, 15:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".