Normal-Ocelot
0x4d3b66f143625bd2fa0e03bbf7b8e8da2a25653b
Wallet digest
Activity score
44/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-235.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
565 shares @ 37.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-210.00
- YES
Did Ye cheat on Bianca?
64 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump get more votes than 2020?
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the AP call the election by November 5?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Inter Miami win the 2024 MLS Cup?
13 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump get more votes than 2020?$10.00Oct 25, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Inter Miami win the 2024 MLS Cup?$5.00Oct 25, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AP call the election by November 5?$5.00Oct 25, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYDid Ye cheat on Bianca?$5.00Oct 25, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$25.00Oct 25, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$40.00Oct 23, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$145.00Oct 23, 02:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $33.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 02:04 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 25, 20:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".