Uncomfortable-Smith
0x4d3e14cdd0aa30e3cf20e1e57d49263c69d12e20
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$646.79
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-335.61
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$267.50
$7.50
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 3.7¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$197.50
$12.50
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$97.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$77.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 7?
410 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$4.31
$-2.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on June 7?
81 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.73
$-0.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on June 7?
37 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.76
$-0.02
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
158888 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-69.95
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 5?
624 shares @ 53.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-335.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on June 7?$0.82Jun 6, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 7?$6.20Jun 6, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 7?$1.26Jun 6, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on June 7?$2.46Jun 6, 10:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?$0.48Jun 3, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$57.02Jun 3, 06:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$82.36Jun 2, 10:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?$0.23Jun 1, 12:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?$0.40Jun 1, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?$1.21Jun 1, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?$8.88Jun 1, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$102.94Jun 1, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?$5.64Jun 1, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?$133.67Jun 1, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$190.34Jun 1, 02:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $55.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 15:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 10:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.