0x4d44471534c29bad073c0c330808846f87b24954
0x4d44471534c29bad073c0c330808846f87b24954
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-18.82
Realised
$0.18
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
New "Stranger Things" episode released by March 15?
566 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump's remarks not air?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 9, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Dimona by March 31?
61 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
13 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Dimona by March 31?$4.00Mar 21, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?$4.57Mar 21, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?$7.00Mar 21, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Turkey in March?$6.81Mar 21, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$1.00Mar 15, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 15, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in March 2026?$1.11Mar 15, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Turkey in March?$13.50Mar 13, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Dimona by March 31?$2.00Mar 13, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$1.17Mar 13, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 12, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 12, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 12, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in March 2026?$1.00Mar 12, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's remarks not air?$1.00Mar 11, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?$1.00Mar 11, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$1.00Mar 11, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 10?$1.00Mar 10, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$1.00Mar 10, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$1.18Mar 10, 09:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $2.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 20:36 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 22:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".