0x4d476df8637d791029c6c1c2fc2641d7223787a2
0x4d476df8637d791029c6c1c2fc2641d7223787a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-269.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Italy" 10+ times during Meloni visit on April 17?
200 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2025$0.00
$-66.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on April 30?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will GameStop purchase Bitcoin by April 1?
175 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on March 23?
130 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2025$0.00
$-59.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26?
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- RAJASTHAN
Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals
10 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- GUJARAT
Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings
10 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.70
- YES
Will Brighton win on 2025-04-19?
5 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on April 30?$100.00Apr 29, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on April 26?$30.00Apr 25, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on April 24?$30.00Apr 25, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on April 24?$15.00Apr 23, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United win on 2025-04-20?$10.00Apr 21, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern Munich beat FC Heidenheim?$5.00Apr 21, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United win on 2025-04-20?$5.90Apr 19, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich beat FC Heidenheim?$3.75Apr 19, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBarcelona Open: Karen Khachanov vs. Holger Rune$9.30Apr 19, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBarcelona Open: Karen Khachanov vs. Holger Rune$9.30Apr 19, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Heritage" during Meloni visit on April 17?$10.00Apr 19, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brighton win on 2025-04-19?$1.75Apr 18, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Heritage" during Meloni visit on April 17?$7.10Apr 17, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Italy" 10+ times during Meloni visit on April 17?$66.00Apr 17, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jimmy Patronis win by more than 35%?$75.00Apr 17, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop purchase Bitcoin by April 1?$2.27Apr 1, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jimmy Patronis win by more than 35%?$74.85Apr 1, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on March 25?$30.00Mar 26, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill egg prices drop this week?$45.00Mar 26, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on March 25?$18.60Mar 25, 05:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $24.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 08:51 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 07:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".