Cautious-Fundraising
0x4d47a09b2a8571abc359d6e9f14a6ae7034edd12
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$10.08
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$18.98
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- MESSI
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.08
$0.08
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
5 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.48
- NO
Will RCA Zemamra win on 2026-06-03?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
459 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-47.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
450 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-54.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
245 shares @ 89.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-220.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
220 shares @ 89.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-196.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
219 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-34.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
162 shares @ 77.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-125.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
154 shares @ 82.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-127.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$60.78Jun 16, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$5.33Jun 16, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$51.38Jun 16, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$4.53Jun 16, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$4.51Jun 16, 21:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$4.72Jun 16, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$4.50Jun 16, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$35.45Jun 16, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$31.79Jun 16, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$33.92Jun 16, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$31.70Jun 16, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$4.51Jun 16, 21:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$0.00Jun 16, 21:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$5.04Jun 16, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$50.97Jun 16, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$4.51Jun 16, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$41.66Jun 16, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$5.54Jun 16, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$4.72Jun 16, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$4.87Jun 16, 21:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $23.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 20:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 21:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.