Treasured-Pusher
0x4d47c4b24ed80bcf01ee5f7197977850f875d584
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$755.94
Total PnL
$-94.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
414 shares @ 79.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$341.22
$14.48
- YES
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
254 shares @ 65.6¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$251.93
$85.21
- NO
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
100 shares @ 72.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$85.50
$13.50
- YES
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
57 shares @ 75.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$47.86
$4.87
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$17.50
$2.50
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
57 shares @ 15.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$10.03
$1.43
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
254 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.91
$-79.27
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 19?
1400 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on April 19?
1400 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$500.00Jun 1, 07:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $51.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.