Oddball-Thrift
0x4d4f47f92bd93c5c98cd954270c99cc5c43e1186
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$41.18
Total PnL
$-261.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$16.62
$14.63
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
14 shares @ 79.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$13.76
$2.83
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
6 shares @ 94.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$6.36
$0.37
- UP
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 19?
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$4.44
$2.44
- YES
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
3534 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-262.00
- YES
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
161 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
156 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?
94 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
62 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 6-9%?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$2.00Mar 23, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$2.00Mar 23, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$5.00Mar 23, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$2.00Mar 23, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$2.00Mar 23, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYCoinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 19?$2.00Feb 19, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$4.00Feb 19, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$2.00Feb 19, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$3.00Feb 19, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$2.00Feb 19, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$18.21Feb 19, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$39.86Feb 19, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$4.00Feb 12, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$5.00Feb 12, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$2.00Feb 11, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$4.00Feb 11, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$2.00Feb 11, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$3.00Feb 11, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$4.00Feb 11, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMNorth Korea missile launch by November 30?$25.87Dec 20, 00:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $11.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 19, 22:34 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 00:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.