Even-Clarinet
0x4d530fb3981763e1acb2d12fe9217bae36312204
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-461.50
Win rate
21%
139 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
500 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.56
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
300 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.33
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
300 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-80.52
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
116 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-32.12
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
56 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.56
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
42 shares @ 30.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-12.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$6.17Jul 29, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$5.01Jul 29, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$4.88Jul 29, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$6.25Jul 29, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$5.01Jul 29, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$5.75Jul 28, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$4.99Jul 28, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$4.61Jul 28, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$5.68Jul 28, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$5.04Jul 28, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$2.77Jul 28, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$6.17Jul 28, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$5.06Jul 28, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$4.97Jul 28, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$5.62Jul 28, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$5.04Jul 28, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$5.62Jul 28, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$5.04Jul 28, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$4.44Jul 28, 04:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$5.68Jul 28, 02:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
21% win rate over 139 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
139 closed markets, 21% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $4.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 02:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 12:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 139 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.