0x4d56ecb00f12ea78ba0e6a3caf9fb5b98bb22400
0x4d56ecb00f12ea78ba0e6a3caf9fb5b98bb22400
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$141.87
Total PnL
$-20.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
122 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$122.23
$1.71
- NO
Will Caroline van der Plas become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
12 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.52
$0.02
- NO
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$8.12
$0.02
- YES
Google's Wiz acquisition blocked before July?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
CHIPS Act repealed before July?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- PELICANS
Pelicans vs. Nets
9 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-3.51
- NO
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
8 shares @ 99.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.40
- PREDATORS
Predators vs. Hurricanes
8 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.56
- YES
Milei out as President of Argentina in 2025?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPelicans vs. Nets$3.51Dec 6, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredators vs. Hurricanes$2.56Dec 6, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo visit Germany first?$4.41Dec 6, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMTrail Blazers vs. Warriors$6.14Dec 6, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$120.52Nov 21, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYPelicans vs. Mavericks$0.21Nov 21, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrail Blazers vs. Warriors$1.66Nov 21, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYPelicans vs. Mavericks$2.45Nov 21, 17:48 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$2.06Nov 21, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in June?$2.43Nov 21, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill ANO get less than 27% of the vote in the Czech election?$2.48Nov 21, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?$2.51Nov 21, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in July?$2.61Nov 21, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Enoch Chihana win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?$3.01Nov 21, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Team Malibuca win the FNCS 2025 Global Championship?$3.57Nov 21, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 25% and 30%?$3.61Nov 21, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Přísaha win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$3.61Nov 21, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill SP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$4.01Nov 21, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1000 in June?$4.01Nov 21, 17:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill STAN win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$4.31Nov 21, 17:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $9.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 08:55 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 6, 18:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.