Irresponsible-Maestro
0x4d575c911edd9415823b9bfa399f545680601be7
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$124.81
Total PnL
$-155.66
Realised
$27.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
115 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$114.81
$52.81
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
10 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$10.00
$6.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump say "hell" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
195 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-193.05
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
84 shares @ 33.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-28.10
- NO
Will Donald Trump say "China" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?
21 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on January 2?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$4.00Feb 28, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$44.52Jan 17, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$12.00Jan 15, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$50.00Jan 15, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$50.00Jan 15, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$3.40Jan 14, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$3.40Jan 14, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$4.00Jan 14, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$4.00Jan 14, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$43.68Jan 14, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$47.92Jan 13, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$100.00Jan 13, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$27.87Jan 4, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$28.00Jan 4, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$16.82Jan 3, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$24.93Jan 3, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$16.82Jan 3, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$10.54Jan 3, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$29.96Jan 3, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?$27.59Jan 3, 17:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $39.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 12:42 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 15:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.