Cold-Legal
0x4d5af99d1bedad64b167eee33ece9d496498fefe
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross $32m or more opening weekend?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will The New Lion win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Victor Ponta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
308 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 80 times May 30–June 6?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?
146 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be less than 62%?$0.00Jun 20, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMGoogle forced to sell Chrome?$0.00Jun 20, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.00Jun 1, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Ponta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.00Jun 1, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be less than 62%?$1.00Jun 1, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%?$1.00May 31, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%?$1.00May 31, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Karate Kid: Legends" gross $32m or more opening weekend?$1.00May 31, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump repeal Presidential term limits?$1.90May 31, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announce run for 3rd term?$1.00May 31, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$1.00May 31, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?$1.00May 31, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2025 be the hottest year on record?$1.00May 31, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2025?$1.00May 31, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUY1,300+ Measles cases in U.S. before July?$1.00May 31, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The New Lion win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?$1.00May 31, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle forced to sell Chrome?$1.00May 31, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 80 times May 30–June 6?$1.00May 31, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$1.00May 31, 20:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 20:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 22:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".