Lone-Expansionism
0x4d5e4f53d0abf8b9ec8a221b5b56f4f14ca923c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$3.07
Total PnL
$-7.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$1.62
$0.63
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
1 shares @ 68.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.46
$0.46
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
9 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.96
- YES
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
2 shares @ 58.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$1.00Feb 17, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$1.00Feb 17, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1.00Feb 17, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.00Feb 17, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$2.00Feb 17, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$3.00Feb 17, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$1.00Feb 17, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.00Feb 17, 10:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $1.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 10:28 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 12:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".