Granular-Trek
0x4d6d19f4f3e2b7563e6799988311761c9b251d5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$35.00
Total PnL
$9.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- TRAIL BLAZERS
76ers vs. Trail Blazers
35 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$35.00
$20.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 10?
33 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-11.22
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: Other
30 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.03
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?
15 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?
5 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Trail Blazers$14.70Feb 9, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 10?$11.22Feb 9, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?$70.00Feb 9, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$424.15Jan 26, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?$26.60Jan 26, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$424.57Jan 26, 16:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$36.69Dec 2, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?$0.01Nov 10, 13:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Despicable Me 4' gross most in 2024?$0.01Nov 10, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Washington Mystics win the 2024 WNBA Finals?$0.00Nov 10, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill another candidate win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?$0.00Nov 10, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill a candidate from another party win Mississippi US Senate Election?$0.00Nov 10, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election?$0.00Nov 10, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$37.00Nov 9, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Mississippi US Senate Election?$0.03Nov 6, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election?$0.04Oct 15, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?$0.01Oct 13, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?$0.01Oct 13, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: Other$0.03Oct 13, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Mystics win the 2024 WNBA Finals?$0.04Sep 18, 19:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $46.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 18:58 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 15:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.