Writhing-Currency
0x4d7194d65ca6a90fa9ccbb2edb29b3c73482a1e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$224.27
Total PnL
$-124.03
Realised
$2.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?
117 shares @ 85.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$117.44
$17.44
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
106 shares @ 85.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$53.47
$-36.53
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
53 shares @ 93.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$53.36
$3.36
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4AM ET
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 18?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
127 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- T1
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. T1
72 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?$3.87Sep 24, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$20.49Sep 24, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$115.66Sep 24, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on August 18 at 5PM ET?$10.20Aug 19, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than 4400 on August 18 at 5PM ET?$11.90Aug 19, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than 4400 on August 18 at 5PM ET?$10.00Aug 18, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on August 18 at 5PM ET?$10.00Aug 18, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 18?$1.00Aug 18, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLLeague of Legends: Gen.G vs. T1$19.64Aug 7, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYLeague of Legends: Gen.G vs. T1$50.00Aug 7, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYLeague of Legends: Gen.G vs. T1$20.00Aug 7, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLLeague of Legends: Gen.G vs. T1$22.70Aug 7, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYLeague of Legends: Gen.G vs. T1$20.00Aug 7, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$50.00Jul 24, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$41.63Jul 24, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$50.00Jul 24, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMajor meteor strike (10kt+) in 2025?$100.00Jul 24, 12:44 UTC
- TRADESELLLeague of Legends: KT Rolster vs. Nongshim Red Force$161.28Jul 24, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be between 69-70°F on July 24?$2.80Jul 24, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$10.00Jul 24, 12:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $33.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 15:40 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 24, 09:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.