Shy-Solvency
0x4d73a91d2434a6041011283931b788946266bae7
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.21
Total PnL
$-66.3K
Realised
$-13.3K
Win rate
20%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?
83 shares @ 83.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.21
$-68.57
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
30000 shares @ 76.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-22.9K
- NO
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?
17222 shares @ 81.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-14.1K
- YES
Will Apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
13030 shares @ 53.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.0K
- YES
Lee Jun-seok arrested by September 30?
8543 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-333.17
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?
7880 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Lee Jun-seok in jail in 2025?
4505 shares @ 31.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in July?
3200 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-969.97
- YES
Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
2130 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-163.80
- YES
Will three people dissent the September Fed decision?
1703 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-592.77
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?$20.00Feb 27, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?$16.99Feb 27, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?$3.29Feb 26, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?$33.00Feb 9, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?$749.99Jan 26, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars?$698.24Jan 11, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLHan Duck-soo in jail by January 31?$400.00Jan 3, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out in 2025?$226.73Jan 3, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMTesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?$500.00Jan 3, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.7KJan 3, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.7KDec 31, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLLee Jun-seok in jail in 2025?$0.01Dec 31, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLHan Duck-soo in jail by January 31?$375.00Dec 28, 10:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$995.27Dec 28, 05:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$0.10Dec 28, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLChoo Kyung-ho in jail by December 31?$0.82Dec 28, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLLee Jun-seok in jail in 2025?$0.01Dec 28, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?$7.82Dec 28, 05:38 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?$9.11Dec 27, 01:44 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?$5.55Dec 26, 22:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.7K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 01:44 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 10:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".