Keen-Ascent
0x4d7539d6f6c690a2d80b807cd9537f169d35d5a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
51
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-102.82
Realised
$5.98
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 12?
2336 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 12?
2102 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on May 12?
2030 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C or higher on May 11?
2002 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 13?
2002 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 12?
2002 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on May 14?
1095 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 13?
1001 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 13?
702 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 14?
596 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 14?$1.06May 13, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 14?$0.78May 13, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 14?$1.12May 13, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 15?$0.86May 13, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 13?$3.21May 13, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 13?$0.14May 13, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 13?$0.14May 13, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on May 14?$0.63May 13, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 13?$0.49May 13, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 13?$0.10May 13, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 13?$0.68May 13, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 13?$0.16May 13, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on May 14?$0.79May 13, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on May 13?$1.05May 13, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 14?$0.76May 13, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 13?$0.04May 13, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 13?$0.02May 13, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 14?$3.89May 13, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 13?$0.95May 13, 06:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 14?$0.88May 13, 06:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 06:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 07:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.