Intentional-Casserole
0x4d7779fac64591be0c5e024f166fe1fb75f3ebf7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$-60.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
5000 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-549.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 12PM ET
4725 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-386.43
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
4091 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-736.31
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
4011 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-722.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 1PM ET
501 shares @ 59.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-300.16
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.81Jan 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 1PM ET$300.16Jan 20, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$0.00Jan 20, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$0.00Jan 20, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$0.00Jan 20, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$0.00Jan 20, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 19?$0.00Jan 20, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 16?$0.00Jan 20, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$0.00Jan 20, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$0.00Jan 20, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$0.00Jan 20, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$0.98Jan 20, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$1.26Jan 20, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$1.52Jan 20, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$2.13Jan 20, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$2.13Jan 20, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$9.00Jan 20, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$9.00Jan 20, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$3.60Jan 20, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$3.60Jan 20, 18:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $12.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 17:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 21, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".