Thrifty-Plywood
0x4d77d42c66c10e0937038f11292731ea2f1643fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$130.06
Total PnL
$3.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?
68 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$67.52
$0.14
- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
44 shares @ 93.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$43.66
$2.66
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
17 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$16.56
$0.56
- NO
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.25
$0.25
- NO
Trump agrees to send U.S. peacekeeping force to Ukraine?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?$67.38Dec 30, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Warriors$11.76Dec 30, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Warriors$10.00Dec 3, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$1.03Nov 7, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?$1.19Nov 7, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMPump.fun announces public raise sold out on Day One?$2.13Nov 7, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMNorth Korea missile launch by October 15?$20.04Nov 7, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorth Korea missile launch by October 15?$20.00Oct 15, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$15.00Oct 15, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$40.00Oct 15, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?$1.00Sep 8, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?$1.00Sep 1, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump agrees to send U.S. peacekeeping force to Ukraine?$1.00Aug 20, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$1.00Aug 8, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.00Jul 29, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?$1.00Jul 22, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYPump.fun announces public raise sold out on Day One?$2.00Jul 11, 12:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $13.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 12:10 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 30, 09:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.