Wary-President
0x4d803e3b916384fde4f6f3e415c957eadd4bc953
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
35000 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
25865 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.6K
- YES
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
10700 shares @ 61.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.6K
- YES
Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?
7844 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- YES
Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
4057 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-614.18
- NO
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
2000 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-740.00
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
1348 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-337.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.35Feb 17, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.66Feb 17, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$42.09Feb 17, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$21.83Feb 17, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.70Feb 17, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$17.50Feb 17, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.86Feb 17, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.75Feb 17, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.65Feb 17, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$2.23Feb 17, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.82Feb 17, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.66Feb 17, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$2.08Feb 17, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.84Feb 17, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.56Feb 17, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.51Feb 17, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.11Feb 17, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.39Feb 17, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.04Feb 17, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.92Feb 17, 00:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 23:50 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 01:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.