Staid-Monocle
0x4d8119d1ce14b04733ff1148685fe3015b2a4bb2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-99.63
Realised
$-0.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 2?
84 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Congo" during events with Polish president on September 3?
45 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will Swag II first-week album sales be between 125000 and 150000?
40 shares @ 38.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-15.48
- NO
Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" during September?
33 shares @ 45.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Million" or "Billion" 10+ times during his next video?
29 shares @ 34.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 390 and 419 times August 29–September 5?
25 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 66-67°F on September 3?
21 shares @ 29.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on September 4?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 66-67°F on September 4?
10 shares @ 40.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 4, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on December 15?$0.94Dec 15, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on December 15?$1.00Dec 15, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on December 15?$1.00Dec 15, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet between 450 and 479 times August 29–September 5?$9.81Sep 13, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 450 and 479 times August 29–September 5?$2.16Sep 5, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Swag II first-week album sales be between 125000 and 150000?$1.08Sep 5, 12:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Swag II first-week album sales be between 125000 and 150000?$1.08Sep 5, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Swag II first-week album sales be between 125000 and 150000?$17.79Sep 5, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 450 and 479 times August 29–September 5?$2.00Sep 5, 11:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet between 450 and 479 times August 29–September 5?$6.93Sep 5, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet between 420 and 449 times August 29–September 5?$12.87Sep 5, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 420 and 449 times August 29–September 5?$11.89Sep 4, 21:34 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?$7.42Sep 4, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast say "Insane" during his next video?$4.46Sep 4, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 450 and 479 times August 29–September 5?$8.24Sep 4, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 64-65°F on September 4?$1.00Sep 4, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 450 and 479 times August 29–September 5?$2.00Sep 4, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 420 and 449 times August 29–September 5?$3.00Sep 4, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 66-67°F on September 4?$1.00Sep 4, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 390 and 419 times August 29–September 5?$1.00Sep 4, 05:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 2, 14:32 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 15, 18:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".