Outstanding-Exposure
0x4d818d12a80c28bca18b989f286f9093d2a27217
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$28.00
Total PnL
$-12.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?
10 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$10.00
$0.17
- YES
Will gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?
6 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$6.00
$1.26
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$6.00
$0.90
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$6.00
$0.60
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
10 shares @ 91.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-9.15
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
7 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$4.70Apr 5, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?$9.83Apr 2, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?$5.40Apr 2, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$5.88Apr 2, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit (High) $4.00 by March 31?$4.74Mar 27, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?$5.10Mar 27, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$4.45Mar 27, 19:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $5.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 19:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 14:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.