Disguised-Output
0x4d826f2ad8b4fa42d7ad08b940b696857d78a5e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$3.5K
Total PnL
$-354.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
1287 shares @ 67.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.1K
$225.65
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
2474 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$754.72
$-12.20
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
1087 shares @ 46.6¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$744.86
$238.53
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
663 shares @ 79.9¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$371.46
$-158.54
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?
187 shares @ 83.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$146.87
$-8.42
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?
192 shares @ 52.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$89.35
$-10.65
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
140 shares @ 35.8¢·now 42.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$58.60
$8.60
- YES
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
721 shares @ 24.7¢·now 7.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$54.05
$-123.95
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
372 shares @ 15.3¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$52.03
$-4.97
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?
658 shares @ 38.2¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.60
$-221.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$3.2722h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$10.3222h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?$20.4922h ago
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?$20.8522h ago
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?$103.6022h ago
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?$103.6022h ago
- TRADESELLWill inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?$262.1122h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$4.2822h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$10.3122h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$10.1022h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?$30.7922h ago
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?$41.0222h ago
- TRADESELLSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?$96.3422h ago
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?$84.401d ago
- TRADESELLWill inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?$84.051d ago
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?$56.381d ago
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?$101.921d ago
- TRADESELLWill inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?$158.741d ago
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?$99.971d ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$49.631d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $149.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 13d ago
- Last active
- 22h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".