Outstanding-Curse
0x4d83e7e0f6d9fef77018c6850426e348322550ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$428.00
Total PnL
$-154.26
Realised
$25.83
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
408 shares @ 71.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$408.00
$114.69
- NO
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
20 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.00
$1.40
- NO
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
1278 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.55
- YES
Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
1204 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-61.00
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
591 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-22.32
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?
333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
200 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-92.00
- YES
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023?
105 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.00
$-18.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10PM ET
100 shares @ 54.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-54.29
Recent activity
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$10.00Dec 16, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELL30-year mortgage rate below 6% by December 31?$5.64Dec 4, 04:32 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$65.10Dec 4, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$46.00Nov 14, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$46.00Nov 14, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$95.00Nov 13, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$19.50Nov 13, 04:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation increase by 2.9% or less in September?$20.00Nov 2, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce no change at the October meeting?$25.00Nov 2, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$43.80Oct 24, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$4.00Oct 20, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$24.27Oct 15, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$4.93Oct 15, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession in 2025?$5.50Oct 15, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$14.44Oct 15, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$3.60Oct 15, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$1.08Oct 15, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$12.78Oct 15, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$6.90Oct 15, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$12.60Oct 15, 03:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $18.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 13:29 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 16, 05:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.