Shameless-Workout-Orchard
0x4d86949e352449ab09706267910a0e8b6d4e1cb2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$637.23
Total PnL
$-52.08
Realised
$22.14
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
9524 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$166.66
$-33.33
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2040 shares @ 6.4¢·now 5.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$106.08
$-24.74
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?
981 shares @ 6.4¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$73.60
$10.52
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
365 shares @ 17.4¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$60.26
$-3.31
- YES
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$51.56
$1.56
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?
1180 shares @ 4.7¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.21
$-4.31
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$45.83
$-4.17
- YES
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3333 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$28.33
$-1.67
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
333 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$21.67
$-8.33
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
3667 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$16.50
$-3.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$40.00Jun 14, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?$5.52Jun 14, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.98Jun 14, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$0.00Jun 14, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$0.00Jun 14, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$0.00Jun 14, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jun 14, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$10.00Jun 14, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$301.32Jun 14, 03:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$85.12Jun 14, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$199.45Jun 14, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$30.00Jun 14, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$30.00Jun 14, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$30.00Jun 14, 03:18 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.37Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$17.23Jun 13, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.95Jun 13, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.53Jun 13, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$1.95Jun 13, 16:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $23.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 23:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 12:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.