Talkative-Waterwheel
0x4d897d697d03ce6fe1a673d0b6cd0ea5d501381e
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$4.35
Total PnL
$-19.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Australia win on 2025-10-10?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$4.35
$3.35
- YES
Will the federal government be shut down for 4–9 days in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Spencer Strider win the 2025 NL Cy Young?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gibraltar win on 2025-10-12?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Augustin Ramirez win the National League Rookie of the Year?
68 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
40 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will Estonia win on 2025-10-11?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2025-10-10?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: October
32 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?$1.00Oct 13, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Augustin Ramirez win the National League Rookie of the Year?$1.00Oct 13, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spencer Strider win the 2025 NL Cy Young?$1.00Oct 13, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gibraltar win on 2025-10-12?$1.00Oct 10, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win on 2025-10-12?$1.00Oct 10, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belarus win on 2025-10-12?$1.00Oct 10, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Georgia win on 2025-10-11?$1.00Oct 10, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Estonia win on 2025-10-11?$1.00Oct 10, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Republic of Ireland win on 2025-10-11?$1.00Oct 10, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win on 2025-10-11?$1.00Oct 10, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington State vs. Ole Miss$1.00Oct 10, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2025-10-10?$1.00Oct 10, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela win on 2025-10-10?$1.00Oct 10, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Worthing FC win on 2025-10-13?$1.00Oct 10, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Unión win on 2025-10-10?$1.00Oct 10, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2025-10-10?$1.00Oct 10, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$1.00Oct 10, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Oct 10, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: October$1.00Oct 10, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 10-14?$1.00Oct 10, 19:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 18:50 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 13, 23:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".