Vibrant-Widget
0x4d8b00697a7b3cb38464d8c1d88a715c81da52bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$3.77
Total PnL
$-0.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $112,000 on October 14?
2 shares @ 82.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$2.42
$0.42
- YES
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.35
$0.35
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4,100 on October 14?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$1.00Oct 14, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $112,000 on October 14?$2.00Oct 14, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $4,100 on October 14?$1.00Oct 14, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $2,400 on July 1?$1.04Oct 14, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.21Oct 14, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMSolana ETF approved by July 31?$1.54Oct 14, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,400 on July 1?$1.00Jul 1, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana ETF approved by July 31?$1.50Jul 1, 02:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$0.00Jul 1, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$1.10Jul 1, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$2.26Jul 1, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$3.96Jul 1, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$1.00Jan 9, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok banned in the US before May 2025?$1.20Jan 9, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.10Jan 9, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum all time high in 2024?$0.00Jan 9, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?$1.08Jan 9, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?$2.86Jan 9, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$2.2KDec 12, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$2.2KDec 12, 01:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $464.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 03:59 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 14, 04:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".