Lean-Venture
0x4d8bac89d837dc583281da062c4f4bb128e1a9b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-568.21
Realised
$-8.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C or below on January 23?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 16?
6250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C or below on March 17?
6250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 25°F or below on January 23?
4250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.25
- YES
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
1699 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 31°F or below on January 23?
859 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
807 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C or below on January 24?
789 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or higher on March 19?
642 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 43°F or below on March 18?
597 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 43°F or below on March 19?$2.73Mar 17, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 59°F or below on March 19?$6.25Mar 17, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C or higher on March 19?$6.25Mar 17, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C or below on March 17?$6.25Mar 17, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 17?$6.25Mar 17, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 49°F or below on March 18?$6.25Mar 16, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 43°F or below on March 18?$6.25Mar 16, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 18?$6.25Mar 16, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 16?$6.25Mar 16, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Hottest" be said at the Oscars?$2.05Mar 16, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?$14.58Mar 16, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Epstein" be said at the Oscars?$50.00Mar 16, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?$100.00Mar 16, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Hottest" be said at the Oscars?$20.00Mar 16, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 17?$6.25Mar 15, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 37°F or below on March 17?$6.25Mar 15, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 17?$6.25Mar 15, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 37°F or below on March 16?$6.25Mar 15, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 55°F or below on March 16?$6.25Mar 15, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 16?$6.25Mar 15, 23:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $9.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 13:46 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 12:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".