Unusual-Noir
0x4d8c907fafc5e1307fe638c9e0a4ba7819680290
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.5K
Realised
$102.11
Win rate
100%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 January 12-18?
2872 shares @ 32.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-938.88
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 8AM ET
1501 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-735.71
- YES
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?
1474 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-633.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 2AM ET
1400 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-86.89
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 15?
1000 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-26.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 10?
1000 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-37.49
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1AM ET
974 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.38
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 7AM ET
800 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-196.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on August 7 at 5PM ET?
600 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-192.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?$645.00Apr 9, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?$838.01Apr 9, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?$450.50Apr 8, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?$451.86Apr 8, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?$188.60Apr 7, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$42.04Apr 7, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$4.66Apr 7, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$103.50Apr 7, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$3.73Apr 6, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$2.06Apr 6, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$7.32Apr 6, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$0.16Apr 6, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$36.08Apr 6, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$4.22Apr 6, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$6.80Apr 6, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$3.22Apr 6, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$2.96Apr 6, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$0.46Apr 6, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$7.80Apr 6, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$8.00Apr 6, 14:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $64.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 12:58 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 11:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".