Yawning-Anarchy-Prostanoid
0x4d917ff88f6dad024ef77c456442246ba068cdeb
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-207.39
Win rate
9%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?
1040 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-17.94
- NO
Will Jeju SK FC vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw?
465 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-23.26
- NO
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
130 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-22.85
- NO
Will Houston Dynamo vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?
40 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
35 shares @ 41.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-14.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
33 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-18.14
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
32 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
32 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-13.12
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
32 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-14.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
31 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-14.57
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?$10.49Jul 23, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?$6.67Jul 23, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?$9.41Jul 23, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?$3.76Jul 23, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?$1.20Jul 23, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?$12.93Jul 23, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?$0.90Jul 23, 04:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?$30.00Jul 23, 04:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?$30.00Jul 23, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?$13.87Jul 23, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?$13.87Jul 23, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nashville SC win on 2026-07-22?$30.00Jul 23, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?$4.22Jul 23, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?$8.37Jul 23, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houston Dynamo vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?$18.00Jul 23, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?$9.45Jul 23, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlotte FC vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?$4.05Jul 23, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw?$30.00Jul 23, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?$5.96Jul 23, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New England Revolution vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?$10.29Jul 23, 01:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
9% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $7.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 06:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 04:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.